Improving Disease Prevention Strategies of Epidemic Spread by Integrating Socio-spatial Characterization of Human Mobility, Environmental Typology and Mathematical Modelling in an Urban System of Cuba

Status: Recruiting
Location: See location...
Intervention Type: Other
Study Type: Observational
SUMMARY

In contrast to the trend expected based on existing prediction models, dengue incidence was historically low during the pandemic mobility restrictions of 2020-2021 in most dengue endemic countries. This highlights that current transmission models do not correctly take human mobility into account. Within a pilot-study in Cienfuegos, South-Central Cuba, we will characterise the epidemiological spread and distribution of dengue outbreaks (2012-2025) in districts repeatedly involved in previous dengue outbreaks as initiating, case-concentrating or transmission sustaining areas. This will be linked with fine-grained mobility data and socio-spatial characterizations of commuting flows and population hubs where people are concentrated during day-time (time when transmission happens). This information, together with entomological and environmental risk-data, will be used to i) improve the accuracy of mathematical dengue models, ii) better understand the transmission process and iii) inform and improve the design of disease control strategies. The project will contribute to much-needed evidence-based guidance for public health actors on improved prevention strategies of epidemics dispersion and where and when to implement control measures.

Eligibility
Participation Requirements
Sex: All
Minimum Age: 19
Maximum Age: 75
Healthy Volunteers: t
View:

• Being a resident of the sentinel Popular Council/consultorio

• Being \>= 19 years of age

• Being willing and able to provide written informed consent

Locations
Other Locations
Cuba
Instituto de Medicina Tropical Pedro Kouri
RECRUITING
Havana
Contact Information
Primary
Veerle Vanlerberghe
vvanlerberghe@itg.be
+3232476386
Time Frame
Start Date: 2024-06-01
Estimated Completion Date: 2027-06-30
Participants
Target number of participants: 810
Sponsors
Collaborators: Cienfuegos Provincial Ministry of Health, Cuba, University Ghent, Institute Pedro Kouri, Ministry of Public Health (Cuba)
Leads: Institute of Tropical Medicine, Belgium

This content was sourced from clinicaltrials.gov